Hut, Hut, Hut, Scrape! Scraping 35 years of College Football Player Statistics

Marc Fridson
Posted on Feb 21, 2017

This serves as the next phase in building my NFL Draft Outcome Prediction Tool. Previously I collected 30 years of NFL Draft History and resulting player outcomes. Scraping college football statistics for those players provides more potential predictor variables for NFL Draft Outcomes. The difficult part is data is not available for all positions and some positions do not have as many years of historical statistics available (Source of statistics: http://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/). So the scope of the scraping effort was QB, RB, FB, WR, TE (1980-2017); K, P (1990 to 2017). Here are some of the key findings from my tool:

CFB QB Findings:

·       High but not record high College QB Ratings led to the most successful NFL QBs, Every QB

·       Drafted from 1985 to 2007 with a QB Rating of 150 or higher started 5 or more years in the NFL.

·       No strong correlation between College Passing Yards and NFL Success

·       Most Successful QBs averaged between 7 and 9.5 Yard per Attempt

·       Most Successful College QBs threw 70-90 TDs in college

·       No strong correlation between College Interceptions and Success

·       No correlation between College Rushing Yards and Success, but poor Avg. Yards Per Rush does correlate with poor NFL success

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CFB RB/FB Findings:

·       College RB/FB ended up at 8 different positions when they got to the NFL

·       >750 Rushing Attempts in College correlates with poor NFL careers or over 4,000 rushing yards

·       Most Successful RBs/FBs average approximately 5 yards per carry

·       Rushing TDs do not correlate with NFL success

·       No correlation between receptions and success

·       Negative correlation between NFL Success and Receiving TDs

 Screenshot (28)

CFB WR/TE Findings:

·       College WR/TE ended up at 9 different positions when they got to the NFL

·       Most successful WRs/TEs played 20-40 games in college

·       Most successful WRs/TEs in the NFL had less than 100 total receptions

·       Most successful WR/TEs had <1250 total receiving yards in college

·       Most successful WR/TEs avg. 10-20 yards per catch

·       Most successful WR/TEs had <10 receiving TDs in college

·       No correlation between scrimmage yards/plays and NFL success

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About Author

Marc Fridson

Marc Fridson

In addition to my current participation in the Data Science Academy, I am a Course Designer/Facilitator for Columbia University's Applied Analytics Program and the CEO/Founder of Instant Analytics an analytical technology start-up. Prior to this I was the...
View all posts by Marc Fridson >

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