The Past and Future of Energy Sources for Electricity Generation in USA

Jingyu Zhang
Posted on Aug 6, 2016

 

There is a lot of talk about the amount of energy US imports, while scarce attention is paid to how much it produces.  Not only did  the US generate 4 trillion kilowatt hours in 2015, but in term of global warming, the US is producing an increasing amount of renewable energy.

About 67% of the electricity generated in the US is from fossil fuels (coal, natural gas, and petroleum). The fossil fuels are nonrenewable sources, which are limited in supply and will one day be depleted. Burning fossil fuels creates carbon dioxide, the number one greenhouse gas contributing to global warming. The remaining 23% of electricity is generated from renewable energy sources. Sun, wind and water are perfect renewable energy sources depending on where you are. They are non-polluting, renewable and efficient. With the development of technology, the energy conversion efficiency of solar photovoltaic, is increasing dramatically and the cost for generating every kilowatt-hours is decreasing.

This app displays the energy sources of electricity generation over years, and by state.  When you click “Plot_General” from the dashboard sidebar, you see  the plots of electricity information over the past 10 years. The left plot shows the net electricity generation, and the right plot shows its annual growth rate. The parameters that can be chosen in the list of total electricity generation are coal, natural gas, nuclear, renewable, and others.

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When you click “Map_General”, the left map shows the rank of states in the use of different resources for generating electricity. The right pie chart shows the percentage of  each energy source used. (In the “Plot_General” and “Map_General”, renewable energy sources are combined into one variable.)

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The second group of buttons are “Plot_Renewable” and “Map_Renewable”, which provide specific information by type of renewable energy. This information allows the shiny app user to compare the production of different renewable energy sources nationwide, and how this has changed over time.

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The left “Map_renewable” plots show the rank of states in the use of renewable resources, and the right pie chart shows the percentage of  each reneable energy source used.

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Just as plants are built, so they are retired over time.  The “Plot_Units” shows the count of retired plans as well as the addition of new electricity plants projected to 2023.  This reveals the future focus of sources of electricity production.

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What do we find by using the App?

During the past 10 years, the net total electricity generation was constant, which is stable at 4 trillion kilowatthours.  The usage of coal has been decreasing, and the usage of natural gas has increased. At the end of 2015 natural gas exceeded coal as the number one source for electricity generation.  The electricity generated from renewable sources  has continued to increase every year.

Among renewable sources,  hydroelectricity ranks number one, and then wind and solar photovoltaic.  The growth rate of solar photovoltaic is impressive. Even though the rate of growth  slowed in 2015, it is still an impressive ~50%.

Looking at each state separately, reveals some interesting findings.  Texas ranks number one for electricity generation, in both coal and natural gas.  53% of electricity is generated from natural gas and 19% is from coal.  16% of electricity is generated from renewable sources, 94% of which is from wind power.

In Washington state, 82% of electricity is supplied by renewable energy, with hydroelectricity the leader at 90%. Washington state illustrates how natural resources are able to supply more than 70% of human’s needs in certain natural environments.

With its large population and high tech culture, California demonstrates another mode of using energy resources for electricity generation. California ranks number one in using solar energy for electricity. About 25% of total renewable electricity is from solar photovoltaic.

From 2016 to 2023, there will be 112 natural gas units, 36 coal units and 31 petroleum units retired in U.S.. The planned additions are 402 solar photovoltaic units, 384 natural gas units and 169 wind power units. In the near future, natural gas will dominate as a source for electricity. However, the share of renewable energy keeps raising.  For some states, like Washington state, renewable energy already can supply above 70% of its electricity needs. The portion of solar energy will dramatically increase. The reliance of humans on fossil fuel will continue to decrease.

Interested in this App? Please click the link!

https://jingyuzhang.shinyapps.io/Jingyu_ShinyEnergy/

 

About Author

Jingyu Zhang

Jingyu Zhang

Jingyu Zhang has Ph. D degree in Electrical Engineering with emphasis on optics and electronics. She had been working as display scientist at Sharp Labs of America for four years. Now she is passionate about data science and...
View all posts by Jingyu Zhang >

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